Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.051625 0.060186 0.069585 0.080649 0.093299 0.107289 0.123912
2025-04-06 0.038172 0.049221 0.062471 0.079455 0.100560 0.125830 0.158280
2025-04-13 0.029255 0.041280 0.056875 0.078405 0.107148 0.143960 0.194400
2025-04-20 0.024729 0.037770 0.055879 0.082529 0.120340 0.171581 0.245677
2025-04-27 0.021040 0.034546 0.054495 0.085581 0.132129 0.198408 0.298836
2025-05-04 0.016991 0.029909 0.050152 0.083450 0.135893 0.214073 0.337735
2025-05-11 0.014163 0.026594 0.047163 0.082710 0.141307 0.232322 0.381895
2025-05-18 0.011637 0.023264 0.043536 0.080259 0.143461 0.245484 0.419222
2025-05-25 0.009735 0.020653 0.040655 0.078520 0.146347 0.259790 0.459370
2025-06-01 0.008475 0.018998 0.039171 0.078928 0.152771 0.280279 0.511231
2025-06-08 0.007148 0.016940 0.036593 0.076911 0.154534 0.292848 0.550622
2025-06-15 0.006645 0.016512 0.037091 0.080756 0.167371 0.325772 0.627998
2025-06-22 0.005866 0.015352 0.035986 0.081393 0.174404 0.349302 0.691456
2025-06-29 0.004989 0.013786 0.033782 0.079478 0.176233 0.363425 0.739088
2025-07-06 0.004285 0.012489 0.031948 0.078067 0.178867 0.379248 0.791223
2025-07-13 0.004025 0.012265 0.032517 0.081980 0.192945 0.418484 0.891402
2025-07-20 0.003728 0.011883 0.032648 0.084910 0.205220 0.455161 0.989483
2025-07-27 0.003197 0.010730 0.030710 0.082742 0.206078 0.468704 1.042470
2025-08-03 0.002808 0.009898 0.029439 0.081981 0.209965 0.488785 1.110264
2025-08-10 0.002402 0.008915 0.027599 0.079536 0.209655 0.499865 1.160149
2025-08-17 0.002081 0.008119 0.026126 0.077805 0.210799 0.514114 1.217755
2025-08-24 0.001875 0.007654 0.025501 0.078205 0.217126 0.540294 1.302987
2025-08-31 0.001620 0.006954 0.024067 0.076204 0.217240 0.552415 1.358204